Data
Hard money lending statistics
Market size, pricing, leverage, loan performance and borrower behaviour - every figure attributed to a named source, with the disagreements left visible.
Search for statistics on this industry and you get unsourced numbers on vendor blogs. We went looking for the primary research instead. Every figure below names where it came from, and where two credible sources disagree, both are shown.
Market size
| Measure | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Residential transition loans originated, 2025 | more than $85bn | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| of which fix-and-flip renovation | more than $35bn | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| of which ground-up construction | more than $25bn | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| of which bridge-only | more than $25bn | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Total private lending volume, 2025 | about $155bn | Forecasa via Urban Institute |
| RTL share of all private lending | 54% | Forecasa via Urban Institute |
| Bank single-family construction loans outstanding, end-2025 | $91bn | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
What the loans cost
| Measure | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| RTL interest rates, recent quarters | 9.5% to 11.5%, averaging 10.5% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Median rate on new originations, February 2026 | below 10%, still falling | LightningDocs.ai via Urban Institute |
| Premium over bank construction lending | about 200 basis points | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Bank single-family spec construction rate | around 8.0% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| What lenders advertise | 8.0% to 15.0% | our survey |
Leverage and speed
| Measure | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Loan to as-is value (LTAIV) cap | 75% to 80% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Loan to cost on renovation | up to 95% to 100% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Time to underwrite and fund | a week or less | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Conventional financing, for comparison | 45 to 60 days | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
Securitization — where the sources disagree
RTL securitization grew from nothing to a real market in a few years. Urban Institute and KBRA report materially different volumes, almost certainly because they count different things. We show both rather than picking one.
| Year | Urban Institute | KBRA |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | $2.1bn |
| 2024 | $7bn | $6.2bn |
| 2025 | $8bn | $5.5bn |
| 2026 | — | $4.8bn |
| Measure | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Issuers in 2025 | 20, including 10 new | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Rated share of 2025 issuance | nearly two-thirds | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Projected rated share, 2026 | 73% | KBRA |
| RTL share of 2026 private-label RMBS | less than 5% | KBRA |
| Bond spreads, rated deals | 140–210 bps (avg 165) | KBRA |
| Bond spreads, unrated deals | 180–325 bps (avg 226) | KBRA |
Loan performance — the statistic that matters most
| Measure | Rated deals | Unrated deals | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60+ days delinquent, foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO (22 months) | 5.9% | 7.2% | KBRA |
| Foreclosure, REO and bankruptcy alone | ~3.0% | ~3.0% | KBRA |
| Cumulative net losses | below 0.1% | below 0.1% | KBRA |
| Cumulative losses, most vintages | under 30 basis points | under 30 basis points | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
Who actually borrows
| Measure | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Borrowers who transact only occasionally | more than 91% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Share of dollar volume from repeat borrowers | more than 40% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Business-purpose borrower loan volume | $90.5bn | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Occasional borrowers still active a year later | 26% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
| Private lenders with fewer than 10 unique borrowers | more than 83% | Urban Institute (Apr 2026) |
How long the deals take
This section is our own analysis rather than a citation, built from Redfin's county data because nobody publishes the selling phase in a form an investor can use.
| Measure | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| National median days on market, single-family | 48 days | Hard Money Facts analysis |
| Median market phase including closing, 120 largest counties | 2.7 months | Hard Money Facts analysis |
| Renovation allowance inside a 12-month term, median | 9.3 months | Hard Money Facts analysis |
| Fastest county | 3 days | Hard Money Facts analysis |
| Slowest county | 292 days | Hard Money Facts analysis |
| Counties covered | 2,241 | Hard Money Facts analysis |
What we will not claim to know
- There is no national average hard money rate, and anyone publishing one to two decimal places is aggregating advertisements. Private lending has no public loan-level dataset the way conventional mortgages have HMDA.
- Securitized loans are not the whole market. These figures skew toward larger lenders who sell loans. Small local lenders who never securitize are underrepresented, and typically price higher.
- Delinquency figures are pool-level, not a prediction about your deal.
- We do not know how many hard money lenders exist. Nobody does; there is no registry, and licensing is not required in every state — see licensing by state.
Sources
- Urban Institute, The Evolution of Residential Transition Lending (April 2026) — https://www.urban.org/research/publication/evolution-residential-transition-lending
- KBRA, Laying the Foundation: The Evolution of RTL Lending — https://www.kbra.com/publications/CfwBDnbf/kbra-releases-research-laying-the-foundation-the-evolution-of-rtl-lending
- Redfin Data Center — https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/
Questions people actually ask
What exactly is a hard money loan?
A short-term loan secured by real estate, made by a private lender rather than a bank, and underwritten mainly against the property rather than against you. The lender's core question is not can this borrower afford the payments but if this goes wrong, can I sell the collateral for more than I lent.
That single difference explains everything else about the product: it funds in days instead of weeks, it tolerates credit and income situations a bank will not, it is priced at 8.0% to 15.0% instead of mortgage rates, and it is written for 6 to 24 months rather than 30 years.
Why do people apply for hard money loans?
Three reasons, in order of how often they are the real one. Speed: a seller wants to close in ten days and a bank cannot. Condition: the property will not pass a conventional appraisal because it has no kitchen, so no conventional lender will touch it. Situation: the borrower's tax returns, credit, or entity structure do not fit an underwriting box.
Notice that none of those is the money is cheap. Hard money is expensive money that buys you access or speed. If you do not specifically need access or speed, you are paying a large premium for nothing.
Is a hard money loan a good idea?
It is a good idea when the cost of the money is smaller than the value of what the money lets you do, and a bad idea in every other case. That sounds obvious and it is routinely ignored, because the cost is quoted as a rate and the benefit is imagined as a profit.
Concretely: if the loan costs you $18,000 all-in over six months and it lets you capture a $60,000 spread you could not otherwise reach, it is a good idea. If it costs $18,000 to chase a $22,000 spread that assumes the rehab runs on schedule and the ARV holds, you have bought yourself a job with downside. Run it through the true-cost calculator before you decide, not after.
Is hard money lending a good idea?
From the lender's side this is a different question entirely - it is asking about investing capital in these loans rather than borrowing them. We do not cover the investor side of the trade, and note only that private lending funds are securities-adjacent, frequently illiquid, and not covered by deposit insurance. Talk to someone licensed before you put money in.
What are the benefits of a hard money loan?
Speed to close, measured in days rather than weeks. Willingness to lend against property a conventional lender will reject on condition. Underwriting that weighs the deal more heavily than your tax returns. Rehab funds available as a holdback, which no conventional purchase loan offers. And leverage on a purchase price that would otherwise need all cash.
Every one of those is a genuine benefit. All of them are paid for in the fee stack.
What are the risks of a hard money loan?
The honest list, roughly in order of how often it actually bites people:
The clock. Terms run 6 to 24 months. Rehabs run late. When the term ends and the property is not sold or refinanced, you pay an extension fee, or you default. Cost compounding on delay. Every extra month adds interest, carrying costs and possibly an extension fee at once. The exit not existing. A BRRRR that assumes a refinance at a certain value fails entirely if the appraisal comes in low. Recourse. Most hard money loans carry a personal guarantee, so the downside is not limited to losing the property. Speed of foreclosure. In non-judicial states a private lender can move far faster than a bank.
What is the typical interest rate for a hard money loan?
Most quotes land in 10% to 12%, with fix-and-flip paper generally 9.0% to 14.0% and first-time borrowers or unusual collateral running up toward 18.0%. Ranges reflect pricing lenders and industry write-ups publicly advertised as of August 2026. They are advertised ranges, not transaction data - unlike conventional mortgages, private lending has no public loan-level dataset, so nobody can honestly claim to know the true national average. Treat them as a sanity check on a quote, not a benchmark you are entitled to.
But the interest rate is the least useful number on the term sheet. A loan at 10% with 3 points, a $1,495 doc fee, six months of guaranteed interest and interest charged on the undrawn rehab holdback is substantially more expensive than a loan at 12% without those terms. Compare all-in cost, never rates.
What's the typical interest on a hard money loan?
See above - 10% to 12% is the common band. The more useful question is what the loan costs in total dollars over the months you will actually hold it, which is what the true-cost calculator computes.
What do points mean on a hard money loan?
One point is one percent of the loan amount, charged up front. Two points on a $300,000 loan is $6,000, usually deducted from your proceeds at closing rather than billed.
The detail that costs people money: ask whether points are charged on the total loan facility or on the initial funding. If you are borrowing $240,000 for the purchase and $60,000 for rehab, two points on the $300,000 facility is $6,000 - but you only receive $240,000 at closing, so you paid 2.5% on the money you actually got. That gap is standard and rarely volunteered.
How much is 2 points on a $50,000 loan?
$1,000. Points are simply a percentage of the loan amount, so two points is 2% - and on a small loan the flat fees matter far more than the points. A $50,000 loan with 2 points ($1,000) plus a $1,495 doc fee and a $750 underwriting fee carries $3,245 of closing cost, which is 6.5% of the loan before a day of interest. Flat fees are why small hard money loans are disproportionately expensive.
What are the fees associated with hard money loans?
There are usually nine, and a term sheet typically leads with two. The full stack is origination points, underwriting or processing, document preparation, valuation, per-draw inspection, wire and servicing, extension, exit or back-end, and minimum or guaranteed interest. The fee stack, line by line walks through each one with the range you should expect and the question to ask about it.
How to calculate hard money loans?
Not the way most calculators do it. The typical online hard money calculator multiplies loan amount by rate by months and adds points. That undercounts real cost, often badly, because it ignores five things: interest charged on the undrawn rehab holdback, minimum-interest clauses, per-draw fees, extension fees on the months you run over, and the flat fees that dominate on smaller loans.
The honest calculation is: (all interest actually charged under the lender's accrual method) + (points on the basis the lender uses) + (every flat fee) + (draw fees x draws) + (exit fee) + (extension fees if you run long), then expressed as an annualised rate on the money you actually had use of. Ours does that: true-cost calculator.